We’ve seen this before. A new CEO with limited China experience introduces himself to the international business community with tough
talk and big promises about China and the rest of Asia. Then reality rears its ugly head.
The new US administration is doing what new US senior managers in China do best – sending conflicting messages, missing opportunities, and making sweeping pronouncements that are just about impossible to implement.
What can we expect moving forward?
Expect to watch the needle swing back and forth between Partner and Competitor pretty sharply for a while yet as the new trade bosses find their footing. Here are the potential flashpoints you should be watching.
- South China Seas
- US navy patrols,
- New island building / militarization
Yes, the Taiwan card has been played, but you can expect to see it massively overplayed at least once again in the near future. The present administration has probably forgotten the Taiwan call & tweet , and is hoping that the tough talk on North Korea will amount to little more than a photo-op. And that’s your problem(s).